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Complex is complex, no way out of it. But analyzing hypothesis, what about Occam’s razor?

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Occam's razor is a tool that was developed to decide between similarly proven hypotheses. It says that all else being equal, the argument that derives the conclusion with the least premises wins. It is not a suggestion that simplicity in itself is the best criteria to decide whether something is good or not.

For a slightly clumsy example, consider that you have decided to go to a fancy restaurant and you want to get a great steak. But everything is expensive so you decide to get the cheapest steak. What you have done is pre-screened that all the steaks are good and then you get the cheapest one. It is a two step decision where cheapness is the deciding criteria in the second step. Whereas if you had decided you wanted a delicious steak and cheapness was how you would decide, you would end up eating something that tastes terrible.

Occam's Razor is similar in that it's a tool to be implied in the second of a two step process. After you have a set of equally rigorous outcomes, you should go with the one that got there with the least amount of fuss and complexity.

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